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Combat Edge Intelligence

Akhmed Khamzaev vs Mustafa Ashurzoda

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record1-0-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"HeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
127 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team

What's at stake

Akhmed Khamzaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Mustafa Ashurzoda carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Akhmed KhamzaevNow 1599
If they win+13→ 1612
If they lose-19→ 1580
Mustafa AshurzodaNow 1524
If they win+29→ 1553
If they lose-19→ 1505

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Akhmed KhamzaevMustafa Ashurzoda
155016001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (73%)
KO/TKO
1 (25%)
1 (9%)
Submission
1 (25%)
2 (18%)
Decision
2 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Akhmed Khamzaev69%
Mustafa Ashurzoda 31%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Akhmed Khamzaev a 69% favorite over Mustafa Ashurzoda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Akhmed Khamzaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1599 to 1524, a 75-point edge.

Akhmed Khamzaev enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Akhmed Khamzaev finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Mustafa Ashurzoda 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.