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ACA 209 : FROLOV VS ODILOV

Akhmed Khamzaev vs Mustafa Ashurzoda

Oct 30, 2026 · ACA TV
Pick'em vs the modelWho wins this fight?Make your pick
DateOct 30, 2026
DivisionFlyweight
StatusScheduled
VenueTennis Arena
BroadcastACA TV
Start times & how to watch
Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, October 30, 2026 — watch on ACA TV.

US East (ET)
Fri 8:00 AM
US West (PT)
Fri 5:00 AM
United Kingdom
Fri 12:00 PM
Central Europe
Fri 1:00 PM
Australia (Sydney)
Fri 11:00 PM
Akhmed Khamzaev11-4-0Akhmed Khamzaev vs Mustafa AshurzodaMustafa Ashurzoda1-0-0
ruAkhmed Khamzaev11-4-0Akhmed Khamzaevru

Fight Overview

RoundTBD
TimeTBD
11-4-0Record1-0-0
26AgeTBD
5'6"HeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
127 lbsWeight135 lbs
FlyweightWeight ClassFlyweight
tjMustafa Ashurzoda1-0-0tjMustafa Ashurzoda
Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Akhmed Khamzaev owns a 75-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Akhmed Khamzaev and Mustafa Ashurzoda across their careers →

Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Akhmed KhamzaevMustafa Ashurzoda
155016001650202320242025

Recent form

Akhmed KhamzaevL L L W W · -44 Elo last 5
LLLWW
Mustafa AshurzodaW · +24 Elo last 1
W

Elo edge

Akhmed Khamzaev1599-25 last move
Mustafa Ashurzoda1524+24 last move

Why they are ranked here

Akhmed Khamzaev#215 of 373 active Bantamweight fighters · 1599 Elo
Biggest gain
Beat Ariet Kubanychbek Uulu (rated 1500 at the time): +20.
Costliest loss
Lost to Daniiar Toichubek uulu (rated 1500 at the time): -35.
Last 5 fights
2 wins, 3 losses, -44 Elo in total.
Next places
0 points behind #214 Geraldo de Freitas Jr., 0 ahead of #216 Valentyn Bulat.
Mustafa Ashurzoda#332 of 373 active Bantamweight fighters · 1524 Elo
Biggest gain
Beat Almanbek Tagaev (rated 1500 at the time): +24.
Next places
1 point behind #331 Shane Campbell, 0 ahead of #333 Nezar Bahaji.
Inactivity
Placed on 1507, not 1524: 17 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.
Opposition
Opponents averaged 1500 Elo over the last 1 fight. Beating higher-rated opponents is worth more.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Akhmed KhamzaevNow 1599 · #215 Bantamweight
Wins by decision+13→ 1612
Loses by decision-19→ 1580
Mustafa AshurzodaNow 1524 · #332 Bantamweight
Wins by decision+29→ 1553
Loses by decision-19→ 1505
What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

The simulator is part of Combat Edge Premium, with zero ads, 30 Ask Stats questions a month and CSV exports.

Go Premium to run it

Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Akhmed KhamzaevvsMustafa Ashurzoda

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Akhmed KhamzaevKO/TKO leads 73% of wins
Mustafa Ashurzodadecision leads 200% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Akhmed KhamzaevMustafa Ashurzoda

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available
UFC bantamweight average : 3.72
Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available
UFC bantamweight average : 45%
Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available
UFC bantamweight average : 3.75
Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available
UFC bantamweight average : 54%
Not availableTakedown averageNot available
UFC bantamweight average : 1.52
Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available
UFC bantamweight average : 26%
Not availableTakedown defenseNot available
UFC bantamweight average : 61%
Not availableSubmission averageNot available
UFC bantamweight average : 0.52
8Wins by knockout1
1Wins by submission1
2Wins by decision2
2Losses by knockout0
0Losses by submission0
2Losses by decision0

Akhmed Khamzaev vs Mustafa Ashurzoda is a scheduled Flyweight fight on ACA 209 : FROLOV VS ODILOV. Akhmed Khamzaev enters with a 11-4-0 record and Mustafa Ashurzoda enters with a 1-0-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.

Akhmed Khamzaev vs Mustafa Ashurzoda quick answers

When is Akhmed Khamzaev vs Mustafa Ashurzoda?

Akhmed Khamzaev vs Mustafa Ashurzoda is listed for ACA 209 : FROLOV VS ODILOV on Oct 30, 2026 at 8:00 AM EST.

What event is Akhmed Khamzaev vs Mustafa Ashurzoda on?

Akhmed Khamzaev vs Mustafa Ashurzoda is listed on ACA 209 : FROLOV VS ODILOV.

What are the records for Akhmed Khamzaev vs Mustafa Ashurzoda?

Akhmed Khamzaev enters with a 11-4-0 record and Mustafa Ashurzoda enters with a 1-0-0 record.

What division is Akhmed Khamzaev vs Mustafa Ashurzoda?

Akhmed Khamzaev vs Mustafa Ashurzoda is listed as a Flyweight fight.

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