Combat Edge Intelligence

Akhmed Musakaev vs Isaac Dulgarian

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record7-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'7"
69.3"Reach 71"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Sambo-PiterTeamFactory X

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Akhmed MusakaevNow 1634
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
Isaac DulgarianNow 1632
If they win+24→ 1656
If they lose-24→ 1608

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
Not available
Strike accuracy
64%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.82
Not available
Strike defense
41%
Not available
Takedown avg.
5.15
Not available
Takedown accuracy
53%
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
2.06

Trajectory

Akhmed MusakaevIsaac Dulgarian
1650202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (42%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
2 (17%)
Submission
3 (43%)
5 (42%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Isaac Dulgarian62%
Akhmed Musakaev 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Isaac Dulgarian a 62% favorite over Akhmed Musakaev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Akhmed Musakaev's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1634 vs 1632), separated by just 2 points.

Akhmed Musakaev enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Akhmed Musakaev finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Isaac Dulgarian 100%.

Isaac Dulgarian carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.