Akhmed Musakaev vs Lawrence Lui
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-5-0Record8-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
69.3"Reach72"
146 lbsWeight135 lbs
Sambo-PiterTeamCity Kickboxing
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1636
If they lose-16→ 1604
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Akhmed MusakaevLawrence Lui
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Akhmed Musakaev60%
Lawrence Lui 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Akhmed Musakaev a 60% favorite over Lawrence Lui in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1619), separated by just 1 points.
Akhmed Musakaev enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Akhmed Musakaev finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Lawrence Lui 50%.
Lawrence Lui carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.