Al Iaquinta vs Dakota Hope
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-7-1Record11-3-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'6"
70"Reach67"
155 lbsWeight146 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight Team· 1771 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeam4oz. Fight Club· 1653 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1676
If they lose-16→ 1644
If they win+16→ 1678
If they lose-16→ 1646
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1723 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Al IaquintaDakota Hope
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dakota Hope72%
Al Iaquinta 28%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Dakota Hope a 72% favorite over Al Iaquinta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1660 vs 1662), separated by just 2 points.
Al Iaquinta enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Al Iaquinta finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Dakota Hope 55%.
Al Iaquinta carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.