Al Iaquinta vs Gabe Green
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-7-1Record12-5-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height5'10"
70"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight TeamTeamSubfighter MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1675
If they lose-16→ 1643
If they win+16→ 1676
If they lose-16→ 1644
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1723 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Al IaquintaGabe Green
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gabe Green56%
Al Iaquinta 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Gabe Green a 56% favorite over Al Iaquinta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1659 vs 1660), separated by just 1 points.
Al Iaquinta enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Al Iaquinta finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Gabe Green 92%.
Gabe Green carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.