Combat Edge Intelligence

Al Iaquinta vs Kody Steele

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-7-1Record8-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'9"
70"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight TeamTeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Al IaquintaNow 1659
If they win+16→ 1675
If they lose-16→ 1643
Kody SteeleNow 1658
If they win+24→ 1682
If they lose-24→ 1634

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1723 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.06
Sig. strikes / min
4.44
41%
Strike accuracy
33%
4.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.17
61%
Strike defense
52%
0.63
Takedown avg.
0.62
19%
Takedown accuracy
14%
74%
Takedown defense
100%
0.24
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Al IaquintaKody Steele
160016501700175020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
1 (7%)
Submission
2 (25%)
6 (43%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Kody Steele66%
Al Iaquinta 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kody Steele a 66% favorite over Al Iaquinta in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Al Iaquinta's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1659 vs 1658), separated by just 1 points.

Al Iaquinta enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Al Iaquinta finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Kody Steele 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.