Al Matavao vs Antônio Braga Neto
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-7-0Record9-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height6'3"
TBDReach77,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Legacy Jiu-JitsuTeamTeam Nogueira· 1598 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1601
If they lose-16→ 1569
If they win+24→ 1607
If they lose-24→ 1559
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Al MatavaoAntônio Braga Neto
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Al Matavao60%
Antônio Braga Neto 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Al Matavao a 60% favorite over Antônio Braga Neto in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1585 vs 1583), separated by just 2 points.
Antônio Braga Neto enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Al Matavao finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Antônio Braga Neto 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.