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Combat Edge Intelligence

Al Matavao vs Garreth McLellan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Al Matavao
as

Al Matavao

“Sweetness”

11-7-0MiddleweightSaaR

1585Solid

Tale of the tape

11-7-0Record13-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height6'1"
TBDReach72,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Al MatavaoNow 1585
If they win+16→ 1601
If they lose-16→ 1569
Garreth McLellanNow 1584
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

7.84
Sig. strikes / min
3.56
47%
Strike accuracy
54%
6.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.94
59%
Strike defense
45%
0
Takedown avg.
1.15
Not available
Takedown accuracy
22%
0%
Takedown defense
35%
0
Submission avg.
0.86

Trajectory

Al MatavaoGarreth McLellan
15501600201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (73%)
KO/TKO
3 (23%)
1 (9%)
Submission
9 (69%)
2 (18%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Al Matavao60%
Garreth McLellan 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Al Matavao a 60% favorite over Garreth McLellan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1585 vs 1584), separated by just 1 points.

Garreth McLellan enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Al Matavao finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Garreth McLellan 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.