Combat Edge Intelligence

Alan Baudot vs Josh Parisian

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alan Baudot
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Alan Baudot

“Black Samourai”

8-4-0HeavyweightUFC

1561Solid

Tale of the tape

8-4-0Record15-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
79"Reach79"
253 lbsWeight266 lbs
MMA FactoryTeamScorpion Fighting System

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alan BaudotNow 1561
If they win+17→ 1578
If they lose-15→ 1546
Josh ParisianNow 1575
If they win+15→ 1590
If they lose-17→ 1558

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1602 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.36
Sig. strikes / min
4.55
59%
Strike accuracy
48%
4.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.88
47%
Strike defense
41%
0
Takedown avg.
0.98
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
63%
Takedown defense
46%
0
Submission avg.
0.20

Trajectory

Alan BaudotJosh Parisian
15501600202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (100%)
KO/TKO
11 (73%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (13%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Josh Parisian57%
Alan Baudot 43%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Josh Parisian a 57% favorite over Alan Baudot in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1575), separated by just 14 points.

Alan Baudot enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Josh Parisian enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Alan Baudot finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Josh Parisian 87%.

Alan Baudot and Josh Parisian share 1 common opponent: Parker Porter.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2022
Parker Porter
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2020