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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alan Baudot vs Louie Sutherland

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alan Baudot
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Alan Baudot

“Black Samourai”

8-4-0HeavyweightUFC

1586Solid

Tale of the tape

8-4-0Record11-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
79"Reach76"
253 lbsWeight266 lbs
MMA FactoryTeamGreat Britain Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alan BaudotNow 1586
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570
Louie SutherlandNow 1584
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.36
Sig. strikes / min
1.80
59%
Strike accuracy
69%
4.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.95
47%
Strike defense
35%
0
Takedown avg.
4.49
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
63%
Takedown defense
33%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alan BaudotLouie Sutherland
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (100%)
KO/TKO
8 (73%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Alan Baudot52%
Louie Sutherland 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alan Baudot a 52% favorite over Louie Sutherland in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1584), separated by just 2 points.

Alan Baudot finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Louie Sutherland 73%.

Alan Baudot carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.