Combat Edge Intelligence

Alan Belcher vs Denis Kang

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-9-0Record35-16-2
HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
233 lbsWeight185 lbs
RoufusportTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Alan Belcher is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Denis Kang carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alan BelcherNow 1685
If they win+10→ 1695
If they lose-14→ 1671
Denis KangNow 1619
If they win+14→ 1633
If they lose-10→ 1609

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1647 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.70
Sig. strikes / min
2
42%
Strike accuracy
39%
3.10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.91
60%
Strike defense
67%
0.44
Takedown avg.
3.53
27%
Takedown accuracy
67%
55%
Takedown defense
38%
0.87
Submission avg.
0.88

Trajectory

Alan BelcherDenis Kang
160016501700201120122013

Win method breakdown

11 (58%)
KO/TKO
15 (43%)
5 (26%)
Submission
14 (40%)
3 (16%)
Decision
6 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Alan Belcher78%
Denis Kang 22%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Alan Belcher a 78% favorite over Denis Kang in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Alan Belcher holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1619, a 66-point edge.

Alan Belcher enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Denis Kang enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Alan Belcher finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Denis Kang 83%.

Alan Belcher and Denis Kang share 1 common opponent: Michael Bisping.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision - Unanimous · 2013
Michael Bisping
LossKO/TKO · 2009