Combat Edge Intelligence

Alan Belcher vs Mansur Abdul-Malik

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-9-0Record9-2-1
HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
TBDReach79"
233 lbsWeight186 lbs
Roufusport· 1700 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alan BelcherNow 1685
If they win+12→ 1697
If they lose-12→ 1673
Mansur Abdul-MalikNow 1688
If they win+16→ 1704
If they lose-16→ 1672

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.70
Sig. strikes / min
3.28
42%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.49
60%
Strike defense
46%
0.44
Takedown avg.
1.65
27%
Takedown accuracy
0%
55%
Takedown defense
83%
0.87
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

Alan BelcherMansur Abdul-Malik
16001650170017502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (58%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
5 (26%)
Submission
2 (22%)
3 (16%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Mansur Abdul-Malik71%
Alan Belcher 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mansur Abdul-Malik a 71% favorite over Alan Belcher in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1688), separated by just 3 points.

Alan Belcher enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mansur Abdul-Malik enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alan Belcher finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Mansur Abdul-Malik 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.