Alan Jouban vs Niko Price
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-7-0Record16-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
73.50Reach76"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
Alan Jouban is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Niko Price carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1684
If they lose-18→ 1652
If they win+14→ 1638
If they lose-10→ 1614
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1691 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alan JoubanNiko Price
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Niko Price66%
Alan Jouban 34%Elo baseline: 43%
The Combat Edge model makes Niko Price a 66% favorite over Alan Jouban in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alan Jouban's way (43%).
Alan Jouban holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1670 to 1624, a 46-point edge.
Niko Price enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alan Jouban finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Niko Price 81%.
Niko Price carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.