Combat Edge Intelligence

Alan Omer vs Arnold Allen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Arnold Allen

Arnold Allen

“Almighty”

21-4-0FeatherweightUFC

1781Great

Tale of the tape

24-5-0Record21-4-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
TBDReach70"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Stallion CageTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

Arnold Allen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Alan Omer carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alan OmerNow 1693
If they win+20→ 1713
If they lose-12→ 1681
Arnold AllenNow 1781
If they win+9→ 1790
If they lose-15→ 1766

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1735 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.49
Sig. strikes / min
3.47
56%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.04
65%
Strike defense
60%
1.69
Takedown avg.
0.86
43%
Takedown accuracy
48%
67%
Takedown defense
72%
0
Submission avg.
0.31

Trajectory

Alan OmerArnold Allen
1650170017501800201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (38%)
KO/TKO
8 (38%)
12 (50%)
Submission
4 (19%)
3 (13%)
Decision
9 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Arnold Allen79%
Alan Omer 21%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Arnold Allen a 79% favorite over Alan Omer in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Arnold Allen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1781 to 1693, a 88-point edge.

Alan Omer enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Alan Omer finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Arnold Allen 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.