Alan Patrick vs Francisco Albano Barrio
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-4-0Record16-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'7"
74"Reach67.7"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1636
If they lose-16→ 1604
If they win+16→ 1637
If they lose-16→ 1605
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alan PatrickFrancisco Albano Barrio
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alan Patrick65%
Francisco Albano Barrio 35%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alan Patrick a 65% favorite over Francisco Albano Barrio in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Francisco Albano Barrio's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1621), separated by just 1 points.
Alan Patrick enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alan Patrick finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Francisco Albano Barrio 69%.
Alan Patrick carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.