Alan Patrick vs Mason Jones
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-4-0Record18-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
74"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamPedro Bessa BJJ
What's at stake
Mason Jones is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Alan Patrick carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1640
If they lose-11→ 1608
If they win+11→ 1741
If they lose-21→ 1709
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alan PatrickMason Jones
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mason Jones72%
Alan Patrick 28%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Mason Jones a 72% favorite over Alan Patrick in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Mason Jones holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1730 to 1619, a 111-point edge.
Alan Patrick enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alan Patrick finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Mason Jones 61%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.