Alan Patrick vs Mason Jones
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
15-4-0Record18-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
74"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamPedro Bessa BJJ
What's at stake
Mason Jones is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Alan Patrick carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1641
If they lose-10→ 1609
If they win+10→ 1754
If they lose-22→ 1722
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1650 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1605 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alan PatrickMason Jones
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mason Jones92%
Alan Patrick 8%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Mason Jones a 92% favorite over Alan Patrick in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Mason Jones holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1744 to 1619, a 125-point edge.
Alan Patrick enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Mason Jones enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Alan Patrick finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Mason Jones 61%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.