Alatengheili vs John Castañeda
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-10-2Record21-8-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
66"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamThe Academy
What's at stake
John Castañeda is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Alatengheili carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1624
If they lose-9→ 1600
If they win+9→ 1706
If they lose-15→ 1682
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1638 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1668 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
AlatengheiliJohn Castañeda
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
John Castañeda85%
Alatengheili 15%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes John Castañeda a 85% favorite over Alatengheili in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
John Castañeda holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1697 to 1609, a 88-point edge.
Alatengheili finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, John Castañeda 67%.
Alatengheili and John Castañeda share 1 common opponent: Chris Gutierrez.
John Castañeda carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.