Alatengheili vs Juan Díaz
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Juan Díaz93%
Alatengheili 7%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Juan Díaz a 93% favorite over Alatengheili in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Juan Díaz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1749 to 1613, a 136-point edge.
Juan Díaz enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Alatengheili finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Juan Díaz 50%.
Juan Díaz carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
18-10-2Record16-1-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
66"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamEntram Gym· 1673 avg Elo · 13 rated
What's at stake
Juan Díaz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Alatengheili carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-8→ 1605
If they win+10→ 1759
If they lose-22→ 1727
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1669 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
AlatengheiliJuan Díaz