Combat Edge Intelligence

Albert Duraev vs Joaquin Buckley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record21-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'8"
75"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamMurcielago MMA

What's at stake

Joaquin Buckley is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Albert Duraev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Albert DuraevNow 1679
If they win+19→ 1698
If they lose-13→ 1666
Joaquin BuckleyNow 1755
If they win+9→ 1764
If they lose-15→ 1740

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1737 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.99
Sig. strikes / min
3.88
40%
Strike accuracy
37%
3.01
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.93
60%
Strike defense
59%
1.97
Takedown avg.
1.54
29%
Takedown accuracy
45%
67%
Takedown defense
72%
0.56
Submission avg.
0.08

Trajectory

Albert DuraevJoaquin Buckley
1700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (19%)
KO/TKO
15 (71%)
9 (56%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (25%)
Decision
6 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Joaquin Buckley79%
Albert Duraev 21%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Joaquin Buckley a 79% favorite over Albert Duraev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Joaquin Buckley holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1755 to 1679, a 76-point edge.

Joaquin Buckley enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Albert Duraev finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Joaquin Buckley 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.