Alberto Mina vs Myktybek Orolbai
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-1-0Record16-3-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
77,5"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kings MMA· 1672 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamUluu Kyrgyz
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1730
If they lose-16→ 1698
If they win+16→ 1730
If they lose-16→ 1698
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alberto MinaMyktybek Orolbai
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Myktybek Orolbai70%
Alberto Mina 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Myktybek Orolbai a 70% favorite over Alberto Mina in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alberto Mina's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1714 vs 1714), separated by just 0 points.
Alberto Mina finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Myktybek Orolbai 81%.
Alberto Mina carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.