Combat Edge Intelligence

Alberto Montes vs Niklas Backstrom

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-2-0Record11-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height6'0"
69"ReachTBD
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
MMA MastersTeamAllstars Training Center· 1678 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alberto MontesNow 1606
If they win+24→ 1630
If they lose-24→ 1582
Niklas BackstromNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1551 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.26
Sig. strikes / min
1.12
61%
Strike accuracy
42%
4.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.65
60%
Strike defense
40%
0
Takedown avg.
2.92
TBD
Takedown accuracy
80%
78%
Takedown defense
73%
6.77
Submission avg.
2.19

Trajectory

Alberto MontesNiklas Backstrom
155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
7 (58%)
Submission
4 (36%)
4 (33%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Alberto Montes70%
Niklas Backstrom 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alberto Montes a 70% favorite over Niklas Backstrom in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Niklas Backstrom's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1607), separated by just 1 points.

Niklas Backstrom enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alberto Montes finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Niklas Backstrom 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.