Alberto Montes vs Tommy McMillen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-2-0Record11-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height6'0"
69"Reach74"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
MMA MastersTeamRed Hawk Academy
What's at stake
Tommy McMillen is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Alberto Montes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+31→ 1637
If they lose-17→ 1589
If they win+11→ 1727
If they lose-21→ 1695
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1551 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alberto MontesTommy McMillen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tommy McMillen77%
Alberto Montes 23%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Tommy McMillen a 77% favorite over Alberto Montes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Tommy McMillen holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1716 to 1606, a 110-point edge.
Tommy McMillen enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Alberto Montes finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Tommy McMillen 91%.
Tommy McMillen carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.