Alberto Pereira vs Jake Collier
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-4-0Record14-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
45.00Reach78"
185 lbsWeight257 lbs
Astra Fight Team· 1581 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamPit MMA
What's at stake
Jake Collier is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Alberto Pereira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+30→ 1495
If they lose-18→ 1447
If they win+12→ 1561
If they lose-20→ 1529
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1629 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alberto PereiraJake Collier
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jake Collier54%
Alberto Pereira 46%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Jake Collier a 54% favorite over Alberto Pereira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Jake Collier holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1549 to 1465, a 84-point edge.
Alberto Pereira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alberto Pereira finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Jake Collier 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.