Combat Edge Intelligence

Alberto Pereira vs Marvin Vettori

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Marvin Vettori
it

Marvin Vettori

“The Italian Dream”

19-10-1MiddleweightUFC

1688Good

Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record19-10-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'0"
45.00Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Astra Fight Team· 1594 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Marvin Vettori is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Alberto Pereira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alberto PereiraNow 1465
If they win+38→ 1503
If they lose-10→ 1455
Marvin VettoriNow 1688
If they win+5→ 1693
If they lose-19→ 1669

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1629 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1753 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.79
Sig. strikes / min
4.74
53%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.55
46%
Strike defense
56%
2.83
Takedown avg.
1.41
50%
Takedown accuracy
44%
67%
Takedown defense
69%
0
Submission avg.
0.39

Trajectory

Alberto PereiraMarvin Vettori
150016001700201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
2 (11%)
7 (54%)
Submission
9 (47%)
2 (15%)
Decision
8 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Marvin Vettori84%
Alberto Pereira 16%Elo baseline: 78%

The Combat Edge model makes Marvin Vettori a 84% favorite over Alberto Pereira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (78%).

Marvin Vettori holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1688 to 1465, a 223-point edge.

Alberto Pereira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marvin Vettori enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Alberto Pereira finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Marvin Vettori 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.