Alden Coria vs Kurban Gadzhiev
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Kurban Gadzhiev52%
Alden Coria 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kurban Gadzhiev a 52% favorite over Alden Coria in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alden Coria's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1648), separated by just 2 points.
Kurban Gadzhiev enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alden Coria finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Kurban Gadzhiev 55%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
13-4-0Record20-6-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'4"
67"Reach-
135 lbsWeight137 lbs
4oz. Fight Club· 1609 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamDagestan Combat Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alden CoriaKurban Gadzhiev