Alden Coria vs Luis Gurule
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
13-3-0Record11-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'5"
67"Reach64"
135 lbsWeight126 lbs
4oz. Fight Club· 1657 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamFactory X
What's at stake
Alden Coria is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Luis Gurule carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1684
If they lose-17→ 1652
If they win+17→ 1658
If they lose-15→ 1626
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alden CoriaLuis Gurule
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alden Coria60%
Luis Gurule 40%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Alden Coria a 60% favorite over Luis Gurule in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Alden Coria holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1669 to 1641, a 28-point edge.
Alden Coria enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Alden Coria finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Luis Gurule 55%.
Alden Coria and Luis Gurule share 1 common opponent: Alberto Trujillo.
Alden Coria carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (1)
LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2024
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2024