Alden Coria vs Luis Gurule
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-4-0Record11-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'5"
67"Reach64"
135 lbsWeight126 lbs
4oz. Fight Club· 1606 avg Elo · 9 ratedTeamFactory X
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
If they win+16→ 1659
If they lose-16→ 1627
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1567 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1587 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alden CoriaLuis Gurule
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luis Gurule57%
Alden Coria 43%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Luis Gurule a 57% favorite over Alden Coria in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alden Coria's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1651 vs 1643), separated by just 8 points.
Alden Coria finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Luis Gurule 55%.
Alden Coria and Luis Gurule share 1 common opponent: Alberto Trujillo.
Alden Coria carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (1)
LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2024
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2024