Alden Coria vs Stewart Nicoll
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-4-0Record8-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'5"
67"Reach65"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
4oz. Fight Club· 1606 avg Elo · 9 ratedTeamBroz Martial Arts
What's at stake
Alden Coria is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Stewart Nicoll carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1664
If they lose-19→ 1632
If they win+19→ 1612
If they lose-13→ 1580
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1567 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alden CoriaStewart Nicoll
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alden Coria72%
Stewart Nicoll 28%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Alden Coria a 72% favorite over Stewart Nicoll in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Alden Coria holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1651 to 1593, a 58-point edge.
Stewart Nicoll enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alden Coria finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Stewart Nicoll 88%.
Alden Coria and Stewart Nicoll share 1 common opponent: Alessandro Costa.
Alden Coria carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.