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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alejandro Perez vs Lucas Ganin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Lucas Ganin
ar

Lucas Ganin

“Tazmania”

9-3-0FeatherweightMMAM

1637Solid

Tale of the tape

25-9-1Record9-3-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'6"
67"Reach-
135 lbsWeight145 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alejandro PerezNow 1638
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622
Lucas GaninNow 1637
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1642 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.45
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
36%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.18
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
62%
Strike defense
Not available
0.54
Takedown avg.
Not available
23%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
71%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.32
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Alejandro PerezLucas Ganin
16502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (40%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
7 (28%)
Submission
6 (67%)
8 (32%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alejandro Perez and Lucas Ganin within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1637), separated by just 1 points.

Lucas Ganin enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alejandro Perez finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Ganin 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.