Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksa Camur vs Justin Ledet

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Justin Ledet
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Justin Ledet

“El Blanco”

9-4-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1602Solid

Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record9-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'4"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aleksa CamurNow 1590
If they win+25→ 1615
If they lose-23→ 1567
Justin LedetNow 1602
If they win+15→ 1617
If they lose-17→ 1585

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1576 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.73
Sig. strikes / min
3.35
57%
Strike accuracy
39%
4.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.82
54%
Strike defense
49%
0.46
Takedown avg.
0.23
22%
Takedown accuracy
50%
50%
Takedown defense
43%
0
Submission avg.
0.23

Trajectory

Aleksa CamurJustin Ledet
16001650170020192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

5 (83%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (56%)
1 (17%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Aleksa Camur56%
Justin Ledet 44%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Aleksa Camur a 56% favorite over Justin Ledet in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Justin Ledet's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1590 vs 1602), separated by just 12 points.

Aleksa Camur enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Justin Ledet enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Aleksa Camur finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Justin Ledet 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.