Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksandar Rakić vs Alexander Soldatkin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record14-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'2"
78"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight250 lbs
Gym 23· 1685 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamSpitfire Gym Berlin· 1618 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aleksandar RakićNow 1694
If they win+16→ 1710
If they lose-16→ 1678
Alexander SoldatkinNow 1697
If they win+16→ 1713
If they lose-16→ 1681

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1740 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.13
Sig. strikes / min
1.16
50%
Strike accuracy
60%
2.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.35
51%
Strike defense
26%
0.64
Takedown avg.
1.45
22%
Takedown accuracy
50%
86%
Takedown defense
50%
0.13
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Aleksandar RakićAlexander Soldatkin
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (60%)
KO/TKO
10 (71%)
1 (7%)
Submission
2 (14%)
5 (33%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Aleksandar Rakić59%
Alexander Soldatkin 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Aleksandar Rakić a 59% favorite over Alexander Soldatkin in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexander Soldatkin's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1694 vs 1697), separated by just 3 points.

Alexander Soldatkin enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Aleksandar Rakić finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Alexander Soldatkin 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.