Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksandr Chizov vs Gadzhi Rabadanov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record28-5-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'8"
75"Reach71"
160 lbsWeight156 lbs
ProfesionalisTeamAbdulmanap Nurmagomedov School· 1732 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

Gadzhi Rabadanov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Aleksandr Chizov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Aleksandr ChizovNow 1651
If they win+22→ 1673
If they lose-10→ 1641
Gadzhi RabadanovNow 1785
If they win+8→ 1793
If they lose-16→ 1769

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1656 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

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Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Aleksandr ChizovGadzhi Rabadanov
1650170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (62%)
KO/TKO
11 (39%)
3 (23%)
Submission
5 (18%)
2 (15%)
Decision
12 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Gadzhi Rabadanov69%
Aleksandr Chizov 31%Elo baseline: 68%

The Combat Edge model makes Gadzhi Rabadanov a 69% favorite over Aleksandr Chizov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).

Gadzhi Rabadanov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1785 to 1651, a 134-point edge.

Gadzhi Rabadanov enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Aleksandr Chizov finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Gadzhi Rabadanov 57%.

Aleksandr Chizov carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.