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Combat Edge Intelligence

Aleksandr Grozin vs Marcin Held

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

25-7-2Record29-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'9"
-Reach39,5"
147 lbsWeight156 lbs
Raty Team· 1671 avg Elo · 14 ratedTeamAnkos MMA· 1669 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aleksandr GrozinNow 1700
If they win+12→ 1712
If they lose-12→ 1688
Marcin HeldNow 1700
If they win+12→ 1712
If they lose-12→ 1688

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1629 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1628 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.41
Not available
Strike accuracy
35%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.02
Not available
Strike defense
47%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.46
Not available
Takedown accuracy
47%
Not available
Takedown defense
38%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.31

Trajectory

Aleksandr GrozinMarcin Held
1700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (24%)
KO/TKO
4 (14%)
3 (12%)
Submission
15 (52%)
16 (64%)
Decision
10 (34%)

Combat Edge model read

Aleksandr Grozin57%
Marcin Held 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Aleksandr Grozin a 57% favorite over Marcin Held in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1700 vs 1700), separated by just 0 points.

Aleksandr Grozin finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Held 66%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.