Aleksandr Podlesniy vs Rustam Kerimov
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Rustam Kerimov77%
Aleksandr Podlesniy 23%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Rustam Kerimov a 77% favorite over Aleksandr Podlesniy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Rustam Kerimov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1741 to 1656, a 85-point edge.
Aleksandr Podlesniy enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Aleksandr Podlesniy finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Rustam Kerimov 50%.
Aleksandr Podlesniy and Rustam Kerimov share 1 common opponent: Charles Henrique.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
24-8-2Record22-3-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'5"
-Reach-
136 lbsWeight147 lbs
OplotTeamFight Club Akhmat· 1678 avg Elo · 33 rated
What's at stake
Rustam Kerimov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Aleksandr Podlesniy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1671
If they lose-9→ 1647
If they win+12→ 1753
If they lose-20→ 1721
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1587 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aleksandr PodlesniyRustam Kerimov
Win method breakdown
Common opponents (1)
LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2022
WinTKO (Punches) · 2023