Aleksandr Podlesniy vs Rustam Kerimov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-8-2Record22-2-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'5"
-Reach-
136 lbsWeight147 lbs
OplotTeamFight Club Akhmat· 1680 avg Elo · 29 rated
What's at stake
Rustam Kerimov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Aleksandr Podlesniy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1651
If they lose-8→ 1627
If they win+11→ 1769
If they lose-21→ 1737
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aleksandr PodlesniyRustam Kerimov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rustam Kerimov81%
Aleksandr Podlesniy 19%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Rustam Kerimov a 81% favorite over Aleksandr Podlesniy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Rustam Kerimov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1758 to 1635, a 123-point edge.
Aleksandr Podlesniy enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Aleksandr Podlesniy finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Rustam Kerimov 50%.
Aleksandr Podlesniy and Rustam Kerimov share 1 common opponent: Charles Henrique.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (1)
LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2022
WinTKO (Punches) · 2023