Aleksandre Topuria vs Santiago Luna
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-1-0Record8-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'8"
68"Reach74"
139 lbsWeight145 lbs
Climent Club· 1711 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamEntram Gym· 1678 avg Elo · 12 rated
What's at stake
Santiago Luna is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Aleksandre Topuria carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1637
If they lose-21→ 1589
If they win+21→ 1682
If they lose-27→ 1634
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1534 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aleksandre TopuriaSantiago Luna
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Santiago Luna74%
Aleksandre Topuria 26%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Santiago Luna a 74% favorite over Aleksandre Topuria in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Santiago Luna holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1661 to 1610, a 51-point edge.
Aleksandre Topuria enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Aleksandre Topuria finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Santiago Luna 88%.
Santiago Luna carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.