Aleksei Oleinik vs Walt Harris
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
61-18-1Record13-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'5"
80"Reach77,0"
254 lbsWeight264 lbs
Oleynik TeamTeamSBG Alabama
What's at stake
Aleksei Oleinik is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Walt Harris carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1733
If they lose-14→ 1709
If they win+19→ 1672
If they lose-13→ 1640
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1646 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1707 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aleksei OleinikWalt Harris
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aleksei Oleinik57%
Walt Harris 43%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Aleksei Oleinik a 57% favorite over Walt Harris in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Aleksei Oleinik holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1723 to 1653, a 70-point edge.
Walt Harris enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Aleksei Oleinik finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Walt Harris 100%.
Aleksei Oleinik and Walt Harris share 2 common opponents: Serghei Spivac and Fabrício Werdum.
Aleksei Oleinik carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.