Combat Edge Intelligence

Alen Amedovski vs Joe Pyfer

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joe Pyfer
us

Joe Pyfer

“Bodybagz”

16-3-0MiddleweightUFC

1763Great

Tale of the tape

8-4-0Record16-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'1"
74"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top Team RomeTeamTeam Balance

What's at stake

Joe Pyfer is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Alen Amedovski carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alen AmedovskiNow 1534
If they win+38→ 1572
If they lose-10→ 1524
Joe PyferNow 1763
If they win+7→ 1770
If they lose-25→ 1738

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.99
Sig. strikes / min
3.47
30%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.85
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.05
46%
Strike defense
54%
0
Takedown avg.
1.23
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
0%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
1.02

Trajectory

Alen AmedovskiJoe Pyfer
160017002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (100%)
KO/TKO
10 (63%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (25%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Joe Pyfer92%
Alen Amedovski 8%Elo baseline: 79%

The Combat Edge model makes Joe Pyfer a 92% favorite over Alen Amedovski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (79%).

Joe Pyfer holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1763 to 1534, a 229-point edge.

Alen Amedovski enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Joe Pyfer enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Alen Amedovski finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Joe Pyfer 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.