Alen Amedovski vs Thiago Hayne
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record10-6-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'1"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top Team RomeTeamTata Fight Team· 1521 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1558
If they lose-24→ 1510
If they win+16→ 1552
If they lose-16→ 1520
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1573 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alen AmedovskiThiago Hayne
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Thiago Hayne54%
Alen Amedovski 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Thiago Hayne a 54% favorite over Alen Amedovski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1534 vs 1536), separated by just 2 points.
Alen Amedovski enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alen Amedovski finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Hayne 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.