Combat Edge Intelligence

Alessandro Costa vs Amir Albazi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Amir Albazi
iq

Amir Albazi

“The Prince”

17-3-0FlyweightUFC

1704Good

Tale of the tape

17-5-0Record17-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
67"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Lobo Gym MMATeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alessandro CostaNow 1705
If they win+16→ 1721
If they lose-16→ 1689
Amir AlbaziNow 1704
If they win+16→ 1720
If they lose-16→ 1688

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1619 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.86
Sig. strikes / min
2.72
47%
Strike accuracy
35%
3.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.71
57%
Strike defense
62%
0.77
Takedown avg.
1.39
0%
Takedown accuracy
32%
86%
Takedown defense
50%
0.38
Submission avg.
0.52

Trajectory

Alessandro CostaAmir Albazi
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (41%)
KO/TKO
5 (29%)
7 (41%)
Submission
9 (53%)
3 (18%)
Decision
3 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Alessandro Costa73%
Amir Albazi 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alessandro Costa a 73% favorite over Amir Albazi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1705 vs 1704), separated by just 1 points.

Alessandro Costa enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Amir Albazi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alessandro Costa finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Amir Albazi 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.