Alessandro Ortolani vs Simone Ali
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Alessandro Ortolani54%
Simone Ali 46%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Alessandro Ortolani a 54% favorite over Simone Ali in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Simone Ali's way (47%).
Simone Ali holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1526 to 1507, a 19-point edge.
Alessandro Ortolani finishes 67% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
3-3-0Record1-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"HeightTBD
-Reach-
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
Simone Ali is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Alessandro Ortolani carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1532
If they lose-23→ 1484
If they win+23→ 1549
If they lose-25→ 1501
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alessandro OrtolaniSimone Ali