Combat Edge Intelligence

Alessio Di Chirico vs Bojan Veličković

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-7-0Record25-13-2
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
74"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Gloria Fight CenterTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

Bojan Veličković is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Alessio Di Chirico carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alessio Di ChiricoNow 1581
If they win+19→ 1600
If they lose-13→ 1568
Bojan VeličkovićNow 1645
If they win+10→ 1655
If they lose-14→ 1631

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.32
Sig. strikes / min
2.18
40%
Strike accuracy
35%
3.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.31
62%
Strike defense
58%
1.46
Takedown avg.
0.67
39%
Takedown accuracy
25%
83%
Takedown defense
55%
0
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

Alessio Di ChiricoBojan Veličković
16001650202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (46%)
KO/TKO
8 (32%)
4 (31%)
Submission
11 (44%)
3 (23%)
Decision
6 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Bojan Veličković52%
Alessio Di Chirico 48%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Bojan Veličković a 52% favorite over Alessio Di Chirico in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Bojan Veličković holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1645 to 1581, a 64-point edge.

Alessio Di Chirico enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alessio Di Chirico finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Bojan Veličković 76%.

Bojan Veličković carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.