Alex Apodaca vs Bella Mir
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-1-0Record4-0-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
71.5"Reach67"
136 lbsWeight136 lbs
Tiger Beetle Martial ArtsTeamSyndicate MMA
What's at stake
Bella Mir is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Alex Apodaca carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1578
If they lose-21→ 1530
If they win+21→ 1619
If they lose-27→ 1571
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex ApodacaBella Mir
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alex Apodaca and Bella Mir within a point of even.
Bella Mir holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1598 to 1551, a 47-point edge.
Alex Apodaca enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Bella Mir enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Alex Apodaca finishes 0% of wins inside the distance, Bella Mir 75%.
Alex Apodaca carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.