Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Apodaca vs Josiane Nunes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record10-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'3"
71"Reach 67"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex ApodacaNow 1578
If they win+24→ 1602
If they lose-24→ 1554
Josiane NunesNow 1585
If they win+16→ 1601
If they lose-16→ 1569

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1520 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
5.41
Not available
Strike accuracy
43%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.44
Not available
Strike defense
52%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
58%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alex ApodacaJosiane Nunes
1500155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
7 (70%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (100%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Alex Apodaca57%
Josiane Nunes 43%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex Apodaca a 57% favorite over Josiane Nunes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josiane Nunes's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1578 vs 1585), separated by just 7 points.

Alex Apodaca enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Josiane Nunes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Alex Apodaca finishes 0% of wins inside the distance, Josiane Nunes 70%.

Alex Apodaca carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.