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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Caceres vs Chase Hooper

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alex Caceres
us

Alex Caceres

“Bruce Leeroy”

21-15-0FeatherweightUFC

1651Good

Tale of the tape

21-15-0Record17-5-1
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'1"
73,5"Reach74"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

Chase Hooper is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Alex Caceres carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alex CaceresNow 1651
If they win+14→ 1665
If they lose-10→ 1641
Chase HooperNow 1706
If they win+13→ 1719
If they lose-19→ 1687

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1649 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1638 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.21
Sig. strikes / min
4.50
50%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.02
63%
Strike defense
40%
0.54
Takedown avg.
2.43
68%
Takedown accuracy
2%
65%
Takedown defense
55%
0.67
Submission avg.
2.08

Trajectory

Alex CaceresChase Hooper
16501700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (19%)
KO/TKO
4 (24%)
7 (33%)
Submission
9 (53%)
10 (48%)
Decision
4 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Chase Hooper78%
Alex Caceres 22%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Chase Hooper a 78% favorite over Alex Caceres in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Chase Hooper holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1706 to 1651, a 55-point edge.

Alex Caceres enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alex Caceres finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Chase Hooper 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.