Alex Caceres vs Chase Hooper
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-15-0Record16-5-1
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'1"
73,5"Reach74"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
MMA LabTeamCombat Sport & Fitness
What's at stake
Chase Hooper is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Alex Caceres carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1664
If they lose-11→ 1640
If they win+14→ 1705
If they lose-18→ 1673
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1648 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex CaceresChase Hooper
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chase Hooper79%
Alex Caceres 21%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Chase Hooper a 79% favorite over Alex Caceres in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Chase Hooper holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1691 to 1651, a 40-point edge.
Alex Caceres enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chase Hooper enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alex Caceres finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Chase Hooper 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.