Alex Caceres vs Giga Chikadze
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-15-0Record15-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height6'0"
73,5"Reach 74"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
MMA LabTeamKings MMA· 1672 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
Giga Chikadze is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Alex Caceres carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1664
If they lose-11→ 1640
If they win+14→ 1701
If they lose-18→ 1669
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1648 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1695 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex CaceresGiga Chikadze
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Giga Chikadze70%
Alex Caceres 30%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Giga Chikadze a 70% favorite over Alex Caceres in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Giga Chikadze holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1687 to 1651, a 36-point edge.
Alex Caceres enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Giga Chikadze enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alex Caceres finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Giga Chikadze 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.