Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Caceres vs Sean Woodson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Alex Caceres
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Alex Caceres

“Bruce Leeroy”

21-15-0FeatherweightUFC

1651Good
Sean Woodson
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Sean Woodson

“The Sniper”

13-2-1FeatherweightUFC

1721Good

Tale of the tape

21-15-0Record13-2-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height6'2"
73,5"Reach78"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs

What's at stake

Sean Woodson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Alex Caceres carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alex CaceresNow 1651
If they win+14→ 1665
If they lose-10→ 1641
Sean WoodsonNow 1721
If they win+13→ 1734
If they lose-19→ 1702

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1648 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1658 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.21
Sig. strikes / min
5.57
50%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.18
63%
Strike defense
59%
0.54
Takedown avg.
0.58
68%
Takedown accuracy
0%
65%
Takedown defense
85%
0.67
Submission avg.
0.35

Trajectory

Alex CaceresSean Woodson
1650170017502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (19%)
KO/TKO
4 (31%)
7 (33%)
Submission
1 (8%)
10 (48%)
Decision
8 (62%)

Combat Edge model read

Sean Woodson78%
Alex Caceres 22%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Sean Woodson a 78% favorite over Alex Caceres in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Sean Woodson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1721 to 1651, a 70-point edge.

Alex Caceres enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alex Caceres finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Sean Woodson 38%.

Alex Caceres and Sean Woodson share 1 common opponent: Julian Erosa.

Sean Woodson carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinTKO · 2022
Julian Erosa
LossSubmission · 2020