Alex Caceres vs Sean Woodson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-15-0Record14-2-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height6'2"
73,5"Reach78"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
MMA LabTeamWolves' Den Training Center
What's at stake
Sean Woodson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Alex Caceres carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1666
If they lose-9→ 1642
If they win+12→ 1745
If they lose-20→ 1713
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1649 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1664 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alex CaceresSean Woodson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sean Woodson77%
Alex Caceres 23%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Sean Woodson a 77% favorite over Alex Caceres in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Sean Woodson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1733 to 1651, a 82-point edge.
Alex Caceres enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alex Caceres finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Sean Woodson 36%.
Alex Caceres and Sean Woodson share 1 common opponent: Julian Erosa.
Sean Woodson carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.