Alex Caceres vs Steven Peterson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
21-15-0Record19-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
73,5"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
MMA LabTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
Alex Caceres is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Steven Peterson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1662
If they lose-13→ 1638
If they win+13→ 1622
If they lose-11→ 1598
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1648 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1625 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex CaceresSteven Peterson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Steven Peterson53%
Alex Caceres 47%Elo baseline: 44%
The Combat Edge model makes Steven Peterson a 53% favorite over Alex Caceres in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alex Caceres's way (44%).
Alex Caceres holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1651 to 1609, a 42-point edge.
Alex Caceres enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Steven Peterson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alex Caceres finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Steven Peterson 68%.
Alex Caceres and Steven Peterson share 2 common opponents: Julian Erosa and Chase Hooper.
Alex Caceres carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.