Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex da Silva vs Billy Quarantillo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-5-0Record18-8-0
WelterweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'10"
73"Reach70"
159 lbsWeight145 lbs
Astra Fight Team· 1594 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamGracie Tampa South

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex da SilvaNow 1667
If they win+16→ 1683
If they lose-16→ 1651
Billy QuarantilloNow 1668
If they win+12→ 1680
If they lose-12→ 1656

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1589 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1691 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.14
Sig. strikes / min
7.44
46%
Strike accuracy
55%
2.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.83
57%
Strike defense
43%
1.97
Takedown avg.
1.47
44%
Takedown accuracy
2%
77%
Takedown defense
61%
0.28
Submission avg.
1.02

Trajectory

Alex da SilvaBilly Quarantillo
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (58%)
KO/TKO
8 (44%)
8 (33%)
Submission
5 (28%)
2 (8%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Billy Quarantillo52%
Alex da Silva 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Billy Quarantillo a 52% favorite over Alex da Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1667 vs 1668), separated by just 1 points.

Billy Quarantillo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Alex da Silva finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Billy Quarantillo 72%.

Alex da Silva carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.