Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex da Silva vs Brad Riddell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-5-0Record10-4-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
73"Reach 71"
159 lbsWeight156 lbs
Astra Fight TeamTeamCity Kickboxing

What's at stake

Alex da Silva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Brad Riddell carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alex da SilvaNow 1663
If they win+15→ 1678
If they lose-17→ 1646
Brad RiddellNow 1648
If they win+17→ 1665
If they lose-15→ 1633

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1632 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.14
Sig. strikes / min
4.71
46%
Strike accuracy
54%
2.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.53
57%
Strike defense
54%
1.97
Takedown avg.
1.77
44%
Takedown accuracy
36%
77%
Takedown defense
63%
0.28
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alex da SilvaBrad Riddell
1650170020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

14 (58%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
8 (33%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (8%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Alex da Silva55%
Brad Riddell 45%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex da Silva a 55% favorite over Brad Riddell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Alex da Silva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1663 to 1648, a 15-point edge.

Brad Riddell enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Alex da Silva finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Brad Riddell 50%.

Alex da Silva carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.