Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex da Silva vs George Hardwick

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-5-0Record15-4-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
73"Reach72"
159 lbsWeight154 lbs
Astra Fight TeamTeamMiddlesbrough Fight Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex da SilvaNow 1663
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647
George HardwickNow 1662
If they win+16→ 1678
If they lose-16→ 1646

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.14
Sig. strikes / min
3.60
46%
Strike accuracy
39%
2.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.60
57%
Strike defense
71%
1.97
Takedown avg.
0
44%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
77%
Takedown defense
83%
0.28
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alex da SilvaGeorge Hardwick
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (58%)
KO/TKO
6 (40%)
8 (33%)
Submission
3 (20%)
2 (8%)
Decision
6 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

George Hardwick75%
Alex da Silva 25%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes George Hardwick a 75% favorite over Alex da Silva in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alex da Silva's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1663 vs 1662), separated by just 1 points.

Alex da Silva finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, George Hardwick 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.